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Internet Usage Is Up 40% Since March — How ISPs Are Handling the Strain

DSLBroadband StaffAugust 12, 20206 min read

Five months ago, a few hundred million Americans went home and turned on their laptops, fired up Zoom, and started streaming Netflix at 10 AM on a Tuesday. The broadband networks that were engineered for evening peak usage suddenly had to handle business-hours demand that looked like Super Bowl Sunday — every single day.

The remarkable thing isn't that some networks struggled. It's that most of them held up.

The Numbers

According to data from OpenVault, average household broadband consumption hit 402.5 GB per month in the second quarter of 2020, up from 344 GB in Q1 and roughly 280 GB in Q2 of 2019. That's a 40% year-over-year increase in data usage, driven by a shift in behavior that happened almost overnight.

Peak usage patterns have fundamentally changed. Before COVID-19, broadband networks experienced their heaviest traffic between 7 PM and 11 PM, when people came home from work and started streaming. Now there's a second peak from roughly 9 AM to 5 PM — work-from-home Zoom calls, cloud document collaboration, VPN connections to corporate networks.

Upstream traffic — the data you send rather than receive — has seen the most dramatic spike. Video calls are symmetrical bandwidth consumers; a Zoom meeting uses roughly the same amount of upload as download. Most residential broadband connections were designed with heavily asymmetric bandwidth (far more download than upload), and that assumption is being tested.

Comcast reported upstream traffic increases of 56% in March compared to pre-pandemic levels. AT&T's network saw upstream usage jump by a similar magnitude. This matters because upload capacity is typically the tightest constraint on cable networks — and it's exactly what work-from-home demands most.

How ISPs Responded

Give credit where it's due: the major ISPs moved quickly when lockdowns began in March.

Comcast suspended enforcement of its 1.2 TB data cap, opened its Xfinity Wi-Fi hotspot network to non-subscribers, offered 60 days of free Internet Essentials service for new low-income customers, and increased Internet Essentials speeds from 15/2 Mbps to 25/3 Mbps.

AT&T suspended data cap overage fees on its consumer broadband plans and waived late payment fees for customers financially impacted by the pandemic.

Cox paused data cap enforcement and provided the first month free for new low-income subscribers.

Charter/Spectrum — which doesn't have data caps on most plans — offered 60 days of free broadband to new households with K-12 or college students.

T-Mobile added extra data to all plans and suspended data cap throttling.

These were the right moves, and they came fast. But let's also acknowledge the subtext: ISPs suspended data caps because they could. The caps were never about network management — they were about revenue. When the pandemic made it politically untenable to charge overage fees while people were stuck at home, ISPs dropped them without the networks collapsing. That tells you everything about what data caps actually are.

Where the Cracks Showed

While backbone and core networks generally performed well, the edges showed strain. Here's where real users felt the pain:

Upload bottlenecks on cable networks: DOCSIS 3.0 cable connections — still the most common technology in America — typically offer 5-10 Mbps upload. That's workable for one Zoom call but gets dicey with two adults on video conferences while a teenager uploads homework. Households with DOCSIS 3.1 fared better, with 20-35 Mbps upload common.

DSL customers got hammered. Older DSL connections that were already marginal became nearly unusable for remote work. AT&T DSL customers, many of whom get single-digit Mbps speeds, found themselves unable to maintain stable video calls. AT&T has been slow-walking its DSL customer base toward fiber or wireless alternatives, and the pandemic exposed just how badly those customers have been left behind.

Rural areas suffered most. The roughly 21 million Americans (likely more — FCC numbers are suspect) without broadband access found themselves locked out of remote work, telehealth, and distance learning entirely. Satellite internet from HughesNet and Viasat couldn't handle Zoom's bandwidth requirements, and cellular hotspots hit data caps within days.

Wi-Fi became the real bottleneck for many. ISP networks handled the load, but home Wi-Fi networks — never designed for simultaneous 4K streams, video calls, and VPN connections — buckled. Mesh Wi-Fi systems and Wi-Fi 6 routers flew off shelves. The irony: many people blaming their ISP for slow speeds actually had a router problem.

The Digital Divide Got Worse

Here's the part that keeps me up at night. The pandemic didn't create the digital divide — it made it impossible to ignore.

Schools went remote, and suddenly a kid's ability to attend class depended on whether their parents could afford decent broadband. The Pew Research Center estimates that 15-16 million K-12 students live in households without adequate internet for distance learning. That's not an inconvenience. That's an educational catastrophe.

The FCC's Keep Americans Connected pledge, signed by hundreds of ISPs, committed to not disconnecting customers for non-payment during the pandemic and to waive late fees. That helped. But it didn't give people broadband who didn't have it in the first place.

Low-income programs like Comcast's Internet Essentials ($10/month for qualifying households) saw enrollment surge, with Comcast adding over 500,000 new Internet Essentials customers since March. But the $10/month price buys 25/3 Mbps — barely adequate for one video call, much less a family of four trying to work and learn simultaneously.

What Happens When the Waivers Expire?

That's the question nobody wants to answer. ISPs have been vague about when data cap waivers and late fee suspensions will end. Comcast extended its cap suspension through the end of September, but has given no indication it will become permanent.

Here's my prediction: the caps come back. They always do. ISPs make hundreds of millions of dollars annually from overage fees and unlimited plan upsells, and shareholders expect that revenue to continue. The pandemic proved these caps serve no technical purpose, but that argument has been true for years. It didn't stop ISPs from implementing them in the first place.

What might change — and what should change — is the political conversation around broadband. When internet access became essential for work, school, and healthcare overnight, the fiction that broadband is a luxury product died. Whether that translates into policy action — real funding for rural buildout, permanent affordability programs, infrastructure investment — remains to be seen.

The Silver Lining

The pandemic stress-tested American broadband infrastructure in a way no one planned for, and the core networks passed. That's genuinely impressive. The investments that ISPs made in peering capacity, backbone upgrades, and CDN expansion over the past decade paid off when they were needed most.

But "the network didn't crash" is a low bar. The pandemic also exposed every weakness in American broadband: inadequate upload speeds on cable, dying DSL infrastructure, rural dead zones, low-income families priced out of adequate service, and data caps that exist purely to extract revenue.

The question going forward is whether we treat broadband as essential infrastructure — like electricity and water — or go back to treating it as a consumer product that you get as much of as you can afford. Five months into a pandemic, the answer should be obvious.

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